Econometric Forecasting | LSU Economics & Policy Research Group

Research

Econometric Forecasting

2016 Unemployment Insurance Claims Forecast

Our forecast of initial and continuing unemployment insurance claims is conducted annually for the Louisiana Workforce Commission. These forecasts are used to estimate unemployment insurance benefit payments to help with the state's fiscal management of the unemployment insurance trust fund. In addition to controlling for economic factors that drive unemployment, our econometric model uses a polynomial distributed lag structure to capture the decreasing relationship between initial claims and their influence on continuing claims a​​s individuals gradually return to employment. 

Date: 9/14/16

Louisiana Employment Forecast

Each year, we work with the Louisiana Workforce Commission to develop the state's employment forecast. This year, our forecast includes industry and occupation projections to 2017 and 2024 for Louisiana and each of eight Regional Labor Market Areas in the state. We also assist in the development of the Star Rating System, which is based on our forecast. More information about the forecast is published on the Louisiana Workforce Commission website.

Date: 7/22/16

2015 Unemployment Insurance Claims Forecast

Our forecast of initial and continuing unemployment insurance claims is conducted annually for the Louisiana Workforce Commission. These forecasts are used to estimate unemployment insurance benefit payments to help with the state's fiscal management of the unemployment insurance trust fund. In addition to controlling for economic factors that drive unemployment, our econometric model uses a polynomial distributed lag structure to capture the decreasing relationship between initial claims and their influence on continuing claims a​​s individuals gradually return to employment.

Date: 9/15/15

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Louisiana Employment Forecast

Each year, we work with the Louisiana Workforce Commission to develop the state's employment forecast. This year, our forecast includes industry and occupation projections to 2016 and 2022 for Louisiana and each of eight Regional Labor Market Areas in the state. We also assist in the development of the Star Rating System, which is based on our forecast.

Date: 9/9/15

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2014 Unemployment Insurance Claims Forecast

Our forecast of initial and continuing unemployment insurance claims is conducted annually for the Louisiana Workforce Commission.

Date: 9/16/14

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Louisiana Employment Forecast

Each year, we work with the Louisiana Workforce Commission to develop the state's employment forecast. This year, our forecast includes industry and occupation projections to 2015 and 2022 for Louisiana and each of eight Regional Labor Market Areas in the state. We also assist in the development of the Star Rating System, which is based on our forecast.

Date: 6/30/14

2013 Unemployment Insurance Claims Forecast

Our forecast of initial and continuing unemployment insurance claims is conducted annually for the Louisiana Workforce Commission.

Date: 9/16/13

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2013 Health Occupations Outlook

The 2013 Health Occupations Outlook provides an in-depth look at several critical healthcare occupations, including the outlook for growth in the coming years. The study combines existing data with original surveys of Louisiana healthcare employers and Louisiana mid-level providers to assess the impact of upcoming demographic and policy changes on the healthcare workforce. In particular, this study considers the supply of and demand for labor for mid-level providers in Louisiana,​ which include: physician assistants, nurse practitioners, certified registered nurse anesthetists, clinical nurse specialists, and certified nurse midwives.

Date: 9/5/13

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Mississippi Green Jobs Study

In 2011, the Mississippi Department of Employment Security released a series of reports that collectively constituted the most comprehensive assessment of Mississippi's green​ economy. We were the lead research partner on the project, which was funded by the US Department of Labor's Employment and Training Administration. Research products included industry profiles, career pathways, a survey of Mississippi employers, and an assessment of the economic impact of green-related economic stimulus spending, as well as opportunity for growth. The final research products from our collaboration were published by the Mississippi Department of Employment Security, but an overview of the green economy in Mississippi is offered in our survey report below.

Date: 11/30/11

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Louisiana Green Jobs Study 

In 2011, the Louisiana Workforce Commission released a series of reports that collectively constituted the most comprehensive assessment of Louisiana's green economy. We were the lead research partner on the project, which was funded by the US Department of Labor's Employment and Training Administration. Research products included industry profiles, career pathways, a survey of Louisiana employers, and an assessment of the green economy's economic impact, as well as opportunity for growth. Because of the importance of large-scale investments expected in coastal restoration to the state, we placed special emphasis on this cluster of activities, which are featured in several reports. The final research products were published by the Louisiana Workforce Commission, but an overview of our work can be found in the summary report below, as well as a full archive of the 36 reports we contributed to the project.

Date: 11/30/11

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